1月17日,王斯成老师在中国光伏行业协会主办的“光伏行业2018年发展回顾与2019年形势展望研讨会”上做了《新形势下的光伏行业政策与市场分析》的报告。
(来源:微信公众号“智汇光伏”ID:PV-perspective)
1)王老师认为:
日本可再生能源研究所和AgoraEnergiewende联合进行的研究表明:使用基于可再生能源的FFR(快速频率响应)服务可以使日本西部的波动性可再生能源渗透率水平上升至70%左右,东部同步区域达60%。中国目前尚不足10%,发展的空间还很大!
2)最后,王老师对2019年光伏市场提出了6个期待与3个建议。
1、期待着2019年补贴光伏市场规模的出台
2、期待着对于补贴市场,2019年普通光伏电站分区电价水平和自发自用项目固定电价水平的出台;
3、期待着2019年“光伏扶贫”和“领跑者计划”专项规模的出台;
4、期待着“可再生能源电力配额制”的出合
5、期待着“分布式光伏管理办法"的出台
6、期待着政府部门和电网继续搬移5座大山:补贴拖欠、电网接入、土地成本、弃光限电和融资难;
7、建议对于光伏市场环境橙色区域,按照最高国能发新能[201731号文件规定的年度规划指导规模的50%安排平价项目
8、建议放开光伏-逆变器容配比,并将全国三类资源区的光伏保障性收购小时数分别提高到1800,1500和1200小时
9、建议全面放开“自发自用,余电上网的平价市场。
2019年补贴市场+专项+平价光伏电站+平价自发自用+黑户=45-50GW!
以下为王老师PPT原文!
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原标题:王斯成:对2019年光伏市场的6个期待与3个建议